Finance Tip Friday #102: What a Fed Rate Cut Would Mean for Your Portfolio

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With inflation on the descent, economists and investors alike believe that federal interest rates have peaked and have nowhere else to go but one place: DOWN! 

This was even hinted at by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. When asked about potential rate cuts, he was quoted as saying that the possibility of a reduction was coming “into view”. This has been further propagated by the infamous CME FedWatch Tool which puts the odds of a 0.25 point interest rate cut in May around 50%.

However, this begs an important question: So what? If the Fed does in fact begin cutting interest rates, what will this mean for your money and overall net worth?

As it turns out, A LOT! Here are just a few of the things you could potentially expect.

  • Stocks to rally – Generally speaking, investors praise interest rate cuts. This is because when it costs less to borrow money, businesses can take on more debt for cheap. That can mean churning out more production, hiring more people, and strategic expansion – all of which are viewed as good things for increasing profitability.
  • Your debt will be cheaper – Businesses aren’t the only ones to enjoy lower interest rates. Consumer debt on everything from mortgages to auto loans and student debt will cost a lot less. This is great news if you were thinking about buying an investment property or taking out a home equity loan.   
  • Increasing bond prices – It’s important to remember that bonds have an inverse relationship with interest rates. Because they pay a fixed rate of interest, when the Fed makes cuts, those “older” higher-paying bonds become worth more, and investors will pay a premium. Therefore, it may stand that diversifying with some allocation in long-term bonds will work out in your favor.
  • Lower yields on savings – Unfortunately, the easy money of 2023 will begin to fade. You’ll see fewer and fewer ads for CDs or high-yield savings accounts offering 5% or more. Those rates will fall in tandem with the movements of the Fed, so be prepared.

Of course, no one has a crystal ball and can say for sure what the Fed will or won’t do. For that reason, this is a great time to remind you that your best strategy is to dollar-cost average. Buy a little bit of the market every time you get paid or whatever frequency you like. This ensures that you’re investing along the way arbitrarily capturing whatever highs and lows the market throws your way.

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